• Law

    The Illusion of Proof: Confirmation bias and the Lucy Letby Case

    Conspiracy theorists fall victim to a fundamental misunderstanding of how to evaluate and synthesise evidence. It’s not that they believe despite a lack of evidence, but rather that they fail to recognise how the evidence they possess is insufficient to support their improbable claims about the world. While conspiracy theorists actively seek out evidence, their first error is confirmation bias – the tendency to search for information that supports their theory, while disregarding or swiftly dismissing counterarguments. They accumulate a collection of facts that align with their beliefs, relying on the sheer volume of evidence to convince themselves that they [read more...]
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A Simple Challenge to Homeopaths

by Andy L in featured 288

Homeopaths are feeling under threat at the moment and are scrambling around wondering what to do about it. I think there are a number of things they could do: most importantly, they should better manage their own business by showing that they respect the boundaries of what they can reasonably [read more...]
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Why is Homeopathy Successful?

by Andy L in Ainsworths 224

Just before Christmas, Lia Burkeman and Stephanie Kramer, wrote an article for Urban Times that asked the question, “Homeopathy: Can it be a Success Story?” To start, I would like to agree with the pair that indeed homeopathy is very successful. As a set of ideas, they have been around for [read more...]

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